OC4325 METOC for Warfighter Decision Making

This course introduces decision science in the context of utilizing deterministic vs. stochastic meteorological and oceanographic forecasts to improve strategic, operational, and tactical planning. Various aspects of generating, communicating, and applying stochastic forecasts for optimal decision making under uncertainty are explored.

Prerequisite

MR/OC3140 or similar course on statistics. MR/OC4323 and MR4324 are recommended but not required.

Lecture Hours

3

Lab Hours

2

Course Learning Outcomes

Students will learn to:

• Apply decision theory to METOC.
• Understand and discuss biases in METOC forecasting.
• Calculate and interpret METOC metrics.
• Use NPP/MCPP for operational planning in METOC contexts.
• Differentiate between deterministic and stochastic forecasting methods.
• Discuss the use ensemble forecasts.
• Understand key concepts in decision and utility theory related to METOC forecasting.